Duke vs Stanford 9/8/2012

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Stanford is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Duke. Josh Nunes is averaging 243 passing yards and 2.3 TDs per simulation and Stepfan Taylor is projected for 155 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Duke wins, Sean Renfree averages 2.33 TD passes vs 0.83 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.24 TDs to 1.05 interceptions. Juwan Thompson averages 40 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 35 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Stanford has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is STAN -14

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